Roadmapping in Program Management

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DISCLAIMER:
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''Developed by Sebastian Bauer''
*The section "Example" is not finished yet, there will be figures according to each stage of the process.
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*Literature is not added yet and will follow in the next days.
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=='''Overview'''==
 
=='''Overview'''==
A roadmap is a time-based chart that aligns multiple planning layers (such as marketing-, product-, development-plan) with strategic business objectives. Its main idea is to create one integrated planning approach. This way, strategic pathways towards specific trajectories can be found, compared and decided while taking into account the planning elements’ interdependencies, mutual requirements and synergies. Due to this holistic approach, (technology) roadmaps are a valuable tool for program management in organisations in two ways:
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A roadmap is a time-based chart that aligns multiple planning layers (such as marketing-, product-, development-plan) with strategic business objectives. Its main idea is to create one integrated planning approach. This way, strategic pathways towards specific trajectories can be found, compared and decided while taking into account the planning elements’ interdependencies, mutual requirements and synergies.<ref name="moehrle">Moehrle, Martin et al. (editors) (2012): ''Technology Roadmapping for Strategy and Innovation: Charting the route to success;'' Springer. [http://www.springer.com/de/book/9783642339226 Link]</ref> Due to this holistic approach, technology roadmaps are a valuable tool for program management in organisations in two ways:
  
 
*'''To analyse and define''' the need for initiatives and/or programs as well as their design;
 
*'''To analyse and define''' the need for initiatives and/or programs as well as their design;
 
*'''To administer''' programs and their underlying activities.
 
*'''To administer''' programs and their underlying activities.
  
In this article, the main focus will be on Technology Roadmaps for the definition of programs. For that, the key aspects as well as popular forms of roadmaps and their purposes are described. Afterwards, the utilisation and the benefits of roadmapping for program management are discussed. As a third step, a roadmapping toolbox as well as a to facilitate a (continuous) roadmapping process is presented. This is then illustrated using a practical example. Finally limitations are discussed and critical aspects are pointed out.
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In this article, the main focus will be on how to use technology roadmaps for the '''definition of (organizational) programs'''. For that, the key aspects of roadmaps and their purposes are described. Afterwards, the utilisation and the benefits of roadmapping for program management are discussed. As a third step, a roadmapping toolbox as well as an example for practical use are presented. Finally, the limitations of roadmapping processes are discussed emphasizing the necessity of a continuous and integrated roadmapping system.
  
 
=='''Understanding Technology Roadmaps'''==
 
=='''Understanding Technology Roadmaps'''==
Technology Roadmaps were first broadly introduced in the 1970s when pioneers like Motorola used them to integrate their technology and product development/planning. Since then, several types of roadmaps have been developed for different purposes (e.g. ''Service/Capability Roadmap'' for service-driven companies; or ''knowledge asset roadmap'' for knowledge-driven companies). What they have in common is the approach of extrapolating effects of certain elements into the future and/or backcasting future goals/expected trends into current activities. In order to visualise these aspects, most roadmaps share certain commonalities described below.
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Technology Roadmaps were first broadly introduced in the 1970s when pioneers like Motorola used them to integrate their technology and product development/planning. Since then, several types of roadmaps have been developed for different purposes (e.g. ''Service/Capability Roadmap'' for service-driven companies or ''knowledge asset roadmap'' for knowledge-driven companies). What they have in common is the approach of extrapolating or ‘’forecasting’’ effects of certain elements into the future and/or ''backcasting'' future goals/expected trends into current activities.<ref name="bernal"> Bernal, Luis et al. (2009): ''Technology Roadmapping Handbook''; University of Leipzig. [http://www.vgu.edu.vn/fileadmin/pictures/studies/MBA/Handbook_Roadmapping.pdf Link]</ref> In order to visualise these aspects, most roadmaps share certain commonalities described below.
  
 
===Key Aspects - What they look like===
 
===Key Aspects - What they look like===
[[File:Market pull and tech push.png|thumb]]
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[[File:Example_Program_Roadmap.png|thumb|400px|'''Figure 01:''' depicts a very simple and generic exemplary roadmap of an organisational program with the strategic goal of promoting collaboration and workplace flexibility.]]
Roadmaps are time-based charts that depict projects, initiatives, technologies and other planning objects on several layers. Typically, these layers can be joined to three main perspectives (blocks):
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Roadmaps are time-based charts that depict projects, initiatives, technologies and other planning objects on several layers. The timeframe (x-axis) typically spans several years and may include the past as well for reference. Even though specific dates will increase the roadmap's explanatory power, relatively vague estimates (such as "now", "plans", "strategy") may be useful in some cases.
 +
 
 +
The y-axis depicts the different planning layers in which the projects and activities can be categorized. These can mostly be joined into three main perspectives (blocks):
  
 
*'''Resource perspective''' (bottom-layers): e.g. technologies, resources
 
*'''Resource perspective''' (bottom-layers): e.g. technologies, resources
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*'''Purpose perspective''' (top-layers): strategic objectives, markets, business
 
*'''Purpose perspective''' (top-layers): strategic objectives, markets, business
  
A more detailed overview including possible layer-categories can be found in figure XX.
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A more detailed overview including possible layer-categories can be found in figure 01.
  
The timeframe (x-axis) typically spans several years and may include the past as well for reference. Even though specific dates will increase the roadmap's explanatory power, relatively vague estimates (such as "now", "plans", "strategy") may be useful in some cases.
+
Within this framework, bars, and milestones are arranged to represent the activities and initiatives. The interrelations are represented by arrows that connect the different elements often times spanning several layers.  
  
Within this framework, bars, and milestones are arranged to represent the activities/initiatives. The interrelations are represented by arrows that connect the different elements often times spanning several layers.  
+
However, timeframe, layers as well as the type of activities etc. often are (and should be) subject to customization according to the specific case. The most important aspect for this customization is the purpose of the roadmap that may differ broadly.
 +
Also, next to the most common visualization presented above, there are other methods, e.g. ''tables'',''graphs'',''flow charts'' and others, that may be better suited to represent the situation comprehensively in some cases.
 +
<ref name="phaal1">Phaal, Robert et al. (2004): ''Customizing Roadmapping''; in: Research Technology Management Vol. 47.</ref>
  
However, timeframe, layers as well as the type of activities etc. represented often are (and should be) subject to customization according to the specific case. The most important aspect for this customization is the purpose of the roadmap that may differ broadly.
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===Reading Direction - How to interpret them===
Also, next to the most common visualization presented above, there are other methods, e.g. ''tables'',''graphs'',''flow charts'' and others, that may be better suited to represent the situation comprehensively in some cases. For more information on that see XXX.
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[[File: Reading_Direction.png|thumb|400px|'''Figure 02:''' depicts the possible reading directions. In the example, the organization could forecast the possibilities of introducing tablets, or backcast the necessary actions to facilitate collaboration (or a mixture of both).<ref name="phaal1"/>]]
 +
Typically roadmaps can be understood following a diagonal from the bottom-left to the top-right corner (as indicated in figure 02). Depending on the direction along this line, one obtains either an
 +
*'''backcasting-approach''' (top-right to bottom-left corner) following the market/objective pull, or
 +
*'''forecasting-approach''' (bottom-left to top-right corner) following the technology/resources push.
  
===Meaning - How to read Roadmaps===
+
Following the top-down direction, the market/objective pull is first represented by the strategic business goal that propagates through the product portfolio plan, and finally the technologies and resources to be developed (backcasting). Thus a holistic approach to fulfilling market or strategy needs can be tracked. The other way around (bottom up), one may estimate the effects of a new technology or resource and how it can affect future products and therefore shape markets (forecasting). In practise, both directions are often merged as there will always be some idea about future developments as well as strategic implications.
Typically roadmaps can be understood following a diagonal from the bottom-left to the top-right corner (as indicated in figure XX). Depending on the direction along this line, one follows either the
+
<br/>
*'''Top-Down-direction:''' market/objective pull or
+
<br/>
*'''Bottom-Up-direction:''' technology/resources push.
+
<br/>
Following the top-down direction, the market/objective pull is first represented by the strategic business goal, that propagates through the product portfolio plan, and finally the technologies and resources to be developed. Thus a holistic approach to fulfilling market needs can be tracked. The other way around (bottom up) one may estimate the effects of a new technology or resource and how it can affect future products and therefore shape markets.
+
<br/>
 +
<br/>
 +
<br/>
 +
<br/>
  
 
=='''Technology Roadmapping in Program Management'''==
 
=='''Technology Roadmapping in Program Management'''==
According to the PMI-Standard, Program management ist ''the centralized coordinated management of a program to achieve the program's strategic benefits and objectives'' with a program itself being ''a group of related projects managed in an coordinated way [...]''. Comparing these definitions to the overall idea of technology roadmaps, namely the coordination of multiple elements on several layers, to support specific (business) objectives and/or to analyse effect of certain elements on those goals, it becomes clear, that roadmaps are a highly applicable tool for program management.  
+
According to the PMI-Standard, Program management is ''the centralized coordinated management of a program to achieve the program's strategic benefits and objectives'' with a program itself being ''a group of related projects managed in a coordinated way [...]''.<ref name="PMI2nd"> Project Management Institute (2006): ''The Standard for Program Management''; 2nd edition.</ref> Comparing these definitions to the overall idea of technology roadmaps - namely the coordination of multiple elements on several layers, to support specific (business) objectives and/or to analyse effect of certain elements on those goals - it becomes clear, that roadmaps are a highly applicable tool for program management.  
 +
Considering the different program performance domains, roadmaps can play out their strengths in program-strategy-alignment, as well as in benefit-orientation and holistic program design.
 +
That being said, they may also be used in the same way for projects (on a smaller scale) as well as to ensure fit within portfolios of projects and programs.
 +
To realize these benefits, roadmaps should be defined when initiating a program and constantly revised over the course of it, to manage the design as well as the execution. Therefore, especially in the program management context, roadmaps are to be seen as dynamic documents.<ref name="Milosevic"> Milosevic, Dragan et al. (2007): ''Program Management for Improved Business Results''; John Wiley & Sons Inc.. [http://eu.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-111862792X,subjectCd-BA31.html Link] </ref>
  
In the context of PPM, roadmapping influences several aspects as depicted in the Lucent-Maturity-Model (figure XX). They help analyse and forecast and therefore lead to benefits due to better communication and common understanding (first stage), help persuade others (not involved in the roadmapping process) to allocate resources and plan accordingly (second stage) and synchronise programs, planning and portfolio management (third stage). To fully benefit from roadmaps for program management experience and knowledge about the method is essential. However, also in the first and second level, roadmaps (indirectly) influence the process positively.  
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{| class="wikitable"
 +
|+
 +
|
 +
'''Note: Roadmaps in the PMI Standard:'''<br\ >
 +
In the PMI standard ''Roadmaps'' (in contrast to ''Technology Roadmaps'') are presented as a useful tool to administer programs and ensure their benefit creation. While this connects to the approach presented in this article, it does focus on another aspect of roadmapping as it emphasizes the scheduling aspect and alignment of critical milestones, decision points and success criteria definition. Roadmaps in this PMI-context are more strictly time-oriented and represent the different projects instead of layers. As a result, the overall idea is to guarantee a smooth program progress (highest benefit and fewest interruptions/issues possible). Technology Roadmaps as presented here are less about carrying out the program efficiently (although they can serve as the base for that) but about finding effective pathways. For more on Program "administration" using Roadmaps, see <ref name="PMI3rd"> Project Management Institute (2013): ''The Standard for Program Management''; 3rd edition.</ref>.
 +
|}
  
Roadmaps should be defined when initiating a program and constantly revised over the course of it, to manage the design as well as the execution. Therefore, especially in the Program Management context, roadmaps are to be seen as dynamic documents.
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<br \>
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===Benefits - What they can do===
 +
The key benefit of roadmaps in program management is ''coordination and alignment''. Their high-level scope and their focus on interdependencies enable an organisation to guarantee fit between the programs' elements.<ref name="PMI2nd"/>  Especially the process of roadmapping helps asking the right questions to design holistic programs that do not lack critical projects/activities. However, roadmaps improve program management in even more ways:
 +
 
 +
*'''Improve commitment and understanding,''' as they communicate a high-level overall scope and execution of the program;
 +
*'''Help avoid costly mistakes,''' as they reveal gaps in the overall program;
 +
*'''Provide direction and focus,''' as they link program elements to overall strategic objectives;
 +
*'''Improve stakeholder/resource management,''' as they point out key contributors for program success and/or unveil hidden resources
 +
*'''Help save unnecessary cost/guarantee return on investment,''' as they focus on benefit/value creation (therefore contribute to lean program management);
 +
*'''Contribute to risk management efforts,''' as ripple-effects are easier to foresee;
 +
*'''Improve collaboration,''' as they summarize key deliverables/interfaces;
 +
*'''Improve decision making,''' as consequences are easier to foresee;
 +
*'''Clarify responsibilities,''' as they define clear tasks/milestones.
 +
 
 +
<br />
  
 
===Methodology - How to use it===
 
===Methodology - How to use it===
Even though programs contain distinct elements such as well-defined projects, it is key to program's success, to manage these elements mutual interdependence from the beginning. When defining and designing programs it is thus essential to guarantee effective links between the elements. Roadmaps provide this exact high-level scope and focus on the connections between elements. Depending on the company context, a roadmap similar to a product, knowledge asset or service roadmaps can be created in order to find out, if the elements ''content'' adds up to the given objectives. This can be seen as a effectiveness-oriented step, which focuses more on the logical completeness of the programs and puts less emphasis on the timely coordination compared to plans.
 
  
Following the aspects underneath a program roadmap can be designed, reviewed, and improved.
+
Roadmaps can be used ''to design a program from scratch, review and/or improve it''. In the following the focus will be on the definition from scratch, as it includes all other steps. If the program is to be reviewed or improved, one can simply start at one of the latter process steps.
 +
Following the forecasting/backcasting approach, a program roadmap is guided by the following questions, inputs etc.:
  
{|class="wikitable"
+
{| class="wikitable"
|+Methodology of technology roadmaps in program management
+
|+
 +
|'''Key Question'''
 
|
 
|
|'''Top-Down direction'''
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*''Forecasting:'' How will the basis-elements shape the future development of the higher layers?
|'''Bottom-Up direction'''
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*''Backcasting:'' Which elements on the lower levels are required to comply with the next higher layers' requirements?
 
|-
 
|-
|'''Key Inputs'''
+
|'''Key Input'''
|
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''Program objective'' as the top-layer of the roadmap;<br\ >
+
''Key components of value creation chain'' as the layers (arrange according to perspectives mentioned above)<br\ >
+
''Planned technologies, capabilities or else'' as elements of the roadmap (if applicable/if already decided)
+
 
|
 
|
''Key technology(ies), asset(s) etc.'' as the basic starting point of the roadmap (often times bottom layer)<br\ >
+
*''Forecasting:'' Current technology, competency, or project portfolio as the base-layer of the roadmap.
''Key components of value creation chain'' as the layers (arrange according to perspectives mentioned above)<br\ >
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*''Backcasting:'' Strategic goal(s) to pursue development in a specific direction.
''Extensive information about market and overall technology development'' to forecast the effects
+
 
|-
 
|-
|'''Guiding Question'''
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|'''Key Activity'''
 
|
 
|
''Which elements on the lower levels are required to comply with the next higher layers' requirements?''
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*''Forecasting:'' Estimating future trends and possibilities, finding logical developments and (strategically aligned) uses of resources available right now.
|
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*''Backcasting:'' Deriving necessary activities, projects and elements to attain a goal, considering the risk or influence of different scenarios.
''How will the basis-elements shape the future development of the higher layers?''
+
 
|-
 
|-
|'''Other possible<br\ > Questions'''
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|'''Key Output''' (note the similarity between fore- and backcasting approach)
|
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How can we link the outputs of the different layers to the programs overall goal?<br\ >
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Are there excess technologies that will not be used?<br\ >
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Are there missing capabilities that cause gaps between intended products/services and technologies?
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|
 
|
How will certain technologies be used in the future?<br\ >
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*''Forecasting:'' e.g. realization that the organisation holds unnecessary assets (competencies, projects) that cannot be utilised in the future; a certain project may grow to be a revolutionary differentiating aspect for a company if treated correctly because it will be used in a different way.
What kinds of initiatives will be necessary to ensure market success for technologies?
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*''Backcasting:'' e.g. a streamlined project portfolio that links the different initiatives logically; a set of routes that lead towards a specific strategic goal.
 
|}
 
|}
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<br \>
  
 
===Application - How to adjust===
 
===Application - How to adjust===
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*'''Engineering Programs'''  
 
*'''Engineering Programs'''  
 
*:In engineering programs, technology roadmaps can be used to analyse the effects of emerging technologies on the industry/organisation, or (the other way around) to see which technologies need development to realise a strategic product portfolio or the like. For example:
 
*:In engineering programs, technology roadmaps can be used to analyse the effects of emerging technologies on the industry/organisation, or (the other way around) to see which technologies need development to realise a strategic product portfolio or the like. For example:
** Phone manufacturers might analyse the probable impact of flexible displays in order to assess the need for programs to pursue this trend. They may also plan generation-spanning rollout-plans and there product (platform) development programs.
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** ''Forecasting:'' Phone manufacturers might analyse the probable impact of flexible displays in order to assess the need for programs to pursue this trend. They may also plan generation-spanning rollout-plans and there product (platform) development programs.
** Car manufacturers might examine which resources to acquire, capabilities and technologies to develop etc. to position them as a leading e-car-brand in the future.
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** ''Backcasting:'' Car manufacturers might examine which resources to acquire, capabilities and technologies to develop etc. to position them as a leading e-car-brand in the future.
  
 
*'''Organizational Change Programs'''
 
*'''Organizational Change Programs'''
*:In change programs, (next to IT and supporting technologies), methodologies and knowledge takes the place of "technology". It may therefore be used to assess if the current pathway complies with the company's vision of the future (and to define the corresponding program's elements to get back on track). Next to that, a strategic organizational change may be translated into the required projects (and therefore program). Examples might be:
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*:In change programs, (next to IT and supporting technologies), methodologies and knowledge takes the place of "technology". It may therefore be used to assess if the current pathway complies with the company's vision of the future (and to define the corresponding program's elements to get back on track). Next to that, a strategic organizational change may be translated into the required projects (and therefore a program). Examples might be:
** Companies may validate the impact of social networks for their internal structure and design a program that promotes, mitigates or direct the effects.
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** ''Forecasting:'' Companies may validate the impact of social networks for their internal structure and design a program that promotes, mitigates or direct the effects.
** Organizations may design programs that involve human resource strategies, IT-systems, new processes as well as training and education etc. to facilitate a learning organization.
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** ''Backcasting:'' Organizations may design programs that involve human resource strategies, IT-systems, new processes as well as training and education etc. to facilitate a learning organization.
  
 
*'''Societal Programs'''
 
*'''Societal Programs'''
*:On a societal level, possibilities for roadmaps are broad and depend largely on the perspective of the roadmap owner. Mostly the face the question on how society will develop according to major trends or how "big issues" may be solved. For example:
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*:On a societal level, possibilities for roadmaps are broad and depend largely on the perspective of the roadmap owner. Mostly, they face the question of how society will develop according to major trends or how "big issues" may be solved. For example:
** Governments may use the approach to assess the impact of smoking on an aging society (including social systems, health care etc. as layers).
+
** ''Forecasting:'' Governments may use the approach to assess the impact of smoking on an aging society (including social systems, health care etc. as layers).
** NGOs may develop roadmaps on which initiatives, farming methods and technologies may mitigate world hunger.
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** ''Backcasting:'' NGOs may develop roadmaps on which initiatives, farming methods and technologies may mitigate world hunger.
  
 +
=='''Guideline for facilitation'''==
 +
Numerous process descriptions of how to carry out roadmapping exist (e.g. T-Plan-process<ref name="phaal2"/>, Integrated Roadmap process <ref name="ZVEI"> Behrendt, Siegfried (editor) (2007): ''Integrated Technology Roadmapping: A practical guide to the search for technological answers to social challenges and trends''; Zentralverband Elektrotechnik und Elektroindustrie e.V.. [https://www.izt.de/fileadmin/publikationen/IZT_WB87.pdf Link]</ref>, Program roadmap process <ref name="Byrne">Byrne, Kevin et al. (2013): ''How to Prepare a Program Roadmap''; Journal of Evonomic Development, Management, IT, Finance and Marketing, Issue 6. [http://www.gsmi-ijgb.com/Documents/JEDMITFM%20V6%20N1%20P01%20Kevin%20Byrne%20-Program%20Roadmap.pdf Link]</ref>). They differ vastly due to the different purposes and types of roadmaps, however they all point out three main aspects that are essential to any roadmap:
 
{| class="wikitable"
 
{| class="wikitable"
|+
+
|+Key steps of the roadmapping process
 
|
 
|
'''Note: Roadmaps in the PMI Standard:'''<br\ >
+
|Step
In the PMI standard ''Roadmaps'' (in contrast to ''Technology Roadmps'') are presented as a useful tool to administer programs and ensure their benefit creation. While this connects to the approach presented in this article, it does focus on another aspect of roadmapping as it emphasizes the scheduling aspect and alignment of critical milestones, decision points and success criteria definition. Roadmaps in this context are more strictly time-oriented and represent the different projects instead of layers. As a result, the overall idea is to guarantee a smooth program progress (highest benefit and fewest interruptions/issues possible). Technology Roadmaps as presented here are less about carrying out the program efficiently (although they can serve as the base for that) but about finding effective pathways. For more on Program "administration" using Roadmaps, see XX.
+
|Key Question
 +
|Means
 +
|-
 +
|01
 +
|Planning
 +
|
 +
*What is the scope of the roadmap?
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*What is the roadmap's purpose?
 +
*Who is the roadmap’s owner and therefore responsible?
 +
|Discussion with core team, approval meeting with board, input gathering from project and line managers.
 +
|-
 +
|02
 +
|Definition of current and future state
 +
|
 +
*Where are we at (objectively and subjectively)?
 +
*What is the "to-be"-positioning?
 +
|Analysis in core teams, strategic decision from strategic planning and organizational goals (board).
 +
|-
 +
|03
 +
|Gap Analysis
 +
|
 +
*Where are the gaps?
 +
*Which layers need to be addressed?
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|Workshops (often per layer) with respective departments, experts as well as outside consultants.
 +
|-
 +
|04
 +
|Implementation
 +
|
 +
*How to communicate the results?
 +
*How to integrate the roadmapping activities into strategic/budgeting cycles?
 +
*For what to use roadmaps implications?
 +
 
 +
|Using existing processes, facilitating hierarchical power of roadmap owner, gathering a “board of project managers” and the like.
 
|}
 
|}
  
===Benefits - What they can do===
+
However, since roadmapping is such a highly customizable undertaking, it is barely possible to define a more precise universal approach. That does not mean though, that there is no need for a structured process. On the contrary, especially the quality of information and the combination of it is essential to a successful roadmap. Due to that, a roadmapping toolbox is presented containing models and processes that help facilitate the building process of a roadmap. Its focus is on the utilization of information that should mostly be available in an organization anyways.
Altogether, roadmaps improve program management in many ways. Depending on which type of roadmap is chosen, different aspects will be more prominent, however, they always provide guidance as they summarize complex programs at a glance. Roadmaps therefore:
+
  
*'''Improve commitment and understanding,''' as they communicate a high-level overall scope and execution of the program;
+
===Toolbox - Support the process===
*'''Help avoid costly mistakes,''' as they reveal gaps in the overall program;
+
[[File:Toolbox.png|thumb|500px|'''Figure 03:''' depicts how the different tools link/are joined in a roadmap. It therefore points out the need for integration of the roadmapping process in strategic planning activities.<ref name="phaal3"/>]]
*'''Provide direction and focus,''' as they link program elements to overall strategic objectives;
+
<br />
*'''Improve stakeholder/resource management,''' as they point out key contributors for program success and/or unveil hidden resources
+
If the necessary information is not at hand from the beginning, the following toolbox offers an array of supporting measures (see figure 03). It is explained briefly how/for what to use the method in the context of roadmapping. They are organised so they comply with the order of most roadmapping processes. (Click the models names for respective links.)
*'''Help save unnecessary cost/guarantee return on investment,''' as they focus on benefit/value creation (therefore contribute to lean program management);
+
*'''Contribute to risk management efforts,''' as ripple-effects are easier to foresee;
+
*'''Improve collaboration,''' as they summarize key deliverables;
+
*'''Improve decision making,''' as consequences are easier to foresee;
+
*'''Clarify responsibilities,''' as they define clear tasks/milestones.
+
  
=='''Guideline for facilitation'''==
 
Numerous process descriptions of how to carry out roadmapping exist (e.g. T-Plan-process, Integrated Roadmap process, Program roadmap process). They differ vastly due to the different purposes and types of roadmaps, however they all point out three main aspects that are essential to any roadmap:
 
 
*'''Emphasis on the planning of the roadmap'''
 
*:What is the scope of the roadmap?
 
*:What is the roadmap's purpose?
 
*:Who is the roadmaps owner and therefore responsible?
 
 
*'''Emphasis on finding and/or filling gaps between current and future state'''
 
*:Where are the gaps?
 
*:Which layers need to be addressed?
 
*:Often times organised in workshops per layer.
 
 
*'''Emphasis on proper implementation'''
 
*:How to communicate the results?
 
*:How to integrate the roadmapping activities into strategic/budgeting cycles?
 
*:For what to use roadmaps implications?
 
 
However, since roadmapping is such a highly customizable undertaking, it is barely possible to define a universal approach. That does not mean though, that there is no need for a structured process. On the contrary, especially the quality of information and the combination of it is essential to a successful roadmap. Due to that, a roadmapping toolbox is presented containing models and processes that help facilitate the building process of a roadmap. Its focus is on the utilization of information that should mostly be available in an organization anyways.
 
 
===Toolbox - Support the process===
 
If the necessary information is not at hand from the beginning, the following toolbox offers an array of supporting measures (see also figure XX). It is explained briefly how/for what to use the method for in the context of roadmapping. They are organised so they comply with most the order of roadmapping processes.
 
  
*'''Market and technology assessment''' should be utilised to estimate the scope "clockspeed" of development. Depending on that, the timeframe for the roadmap should be chosen.
+
#[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technology_assessment '''Market and technology assessment'''] should be utilised to estimate the scope and "clockspeed" of development. Depending on that, the timeframe for the roadmap should be chosen. (Step 1 and 2)
*'''SWOT-Analysis''' can be used to choose the right focus areas for the companies program (layers of the roadmap) as well as to indicate gaps within/between the layers.
+
#[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SWOT_analysis '''SWOT-Analysis'''] can be used to choose the right focus areas for the companies program (layers of the roadmap) as well as to indicate gaps within/between the layers. (Step 1 and 2)
*'''Portfolio-Analysis''' is useful to define the overall scope as well as to organize the options within the different layers (e.g. technology resources at hand).
+
#[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_portfolio_management '''Portfolio-Analysis'''] is useful to define the overall scope as well as to organize the options within the different layers (e.g. technology resources at hand). (Step 2)
*'''PESTLE-framework''' the factors ''political, economic, social, technological and environmental'' trends and drivers can be used to assess the top layers of the roadmap to find out key trends.
+
#[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PEST_analysis '''PESTLE-framework'''] the factors ''political, economic, social, technological and environmental'' trends and drivers can be used to assess the top layers of the roadmap to find out key trends. (Step 2)
*'''Porter's Five Forces''' may be used if the competitive environment is highly relevant, e.g. when the roadmap is used to design strategic differentiation programs.
+
#[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Porter%27s_five_forces_analysis '''Porter's Five Forces'''] may be used if the competitive environment is highly relevant, e.g. when the roadmap is used to design strategic differentiation programs. (Step 2)
*'''Delphi-method''' should be used to gather inside and outside expert's opinions on the initiatives and developments.
+
#[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delphi_method '''Delphi-method'''] should be used to gather inside and outside expert's opinions on the initiatives and developments. (Step 3)
*'''Valuation techniques''' such as value net-present value, discounted cash flow or the like should be used to assess the different options (projects, technologies, etc.).
+
#[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Valuation_(finance) '''Valuation techniques'''] such as net-present value, discounted cash flow, balanced scorecard or the like should be used to assess the different options (projects, technologies, etc.). (Step 3 and 4)
*'''Linking grids''' (similar to Quality Function Deployment) these grids (see figure XX) link and translate higher-level aspects into lower-level requirements. Thus, they are crucial when linking the roadmaps layers.
+
#'''Linking grids''' similar to Quality Function Deployment these grids link and translate higher-level aspects into lower-level requirements. Thus, they are crucial when linking the roadmaps layers. (See <ref name="phaal2">Phaal, Robert et al. (2001): ''Technology Roadmapping: linking technology resources to business objectives''; University of Cambridge. [https://www.sopheon.com/wp-content/uploads/Article-TechnologyRoadmapping.pdf Link]</ref> for further explanation.) (Step 3)
*'''Scenario Techniques''' should be used to create different pathways and to assess possible future developments.
+
#[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scenario_analysis '''Scenario Techniques'''] should be used to create different pathways and to assess possible future developments. (Step 4)
 +
<br />
 +
<br />
 +
<br />
  
=='''Example'''==
+
===Example - How to do it===
 
{|class="wikitable"
 
{|class="wikitable"
 
|'''Example:''' You are program manager tasked by the CEO to put a program into place, that changes the company to become a truly collaborative work environment to be ready for future competition. They expect a well-rounded solution including the whole company.
 
|'''Example:''' You are program manager tasked by the CEO to put a program into place, that changes the company to become a truly collaborative work environment to be ready for future competition. They expect a well-rounded solution including the whole company.
Line 160: Line 192:
 
{|class="wikitable"
 
{|class="wikitable"
 
|+
 
|+
 +
|
 
|'''Step'''
 
|'''Step'''
 
|'''Action'''
 
|'''Action'''
 
|'''Result'''
 
|'''Result'''
 +
|'''Roadmap'''
 
|-
 
|-
|1) Team Set up
+
|01
 +
|Team Set up
 
|You set up a team including all major stakeholders in the company to discuss the matter and get everyone on board.
 
|You set up a team including all major stakeholders in the company to discuss the matter and get everyone on board.
 
|The team commits to the approach and acknowledges you as the owner of the roadmap, responsible for the process.  
 
|The team commits to the approach and acknowledges you as the owner of the roadmap, responsible for the process.  
 +
|[[File:Roadmap_Example_Step_01.png|thumb|200px|]]
 
|-
 
|-
|2) Clarify the purpose
+
|02
 +
|Clarify the purpose
 
|You meat with the board to discuss the overall goal.
 
|You meat with the board to discuss the overall goal.
 
|The purpose of the roadmap is defined as "Define a roadmap which resources, technologies and capabilities to acquire/develop to become a collaborative business within 5 years".  
 
|The purpose of the roadmap is defined as "Define a roadmap which resources, technologies and capabilities to acquire/develop to become a collaborative business within 5 years".  
 +
|[[File:Roadmap_Example_Step_02.png|thumb|200px|]]
 
|-
 
|-
|3) Choose basic dimensions
+
|03
 +
|Choose basic dimensions
 
|You meet with the core team and discuss the basic layout of the roadmap according to current market and technology information.
 
|You meet with the core team and discuss the basic layout of the roadmap according to current market and technology information.
|x-Axis: The 5-year-timeframe required is acknowledged as realistic. <br\ > The following layers are decided as follows:<br\ >
+
|x-Axis: The 5-year-timeframe required is acknowledged as realistic. <br\ > The following layers are decided to have an impact:<br\ >
 
y-Axis:<br\ >
 
y-Axis:<br\ >
 
Resources: IT, Human Resources, Knowledge assets<br\ >
 
Resources: IT, Human Resources, Knowledge assets<br\ >
 
Delivery: Processes, Projects and Capabilities, Facilities<br\ >
 
Delivery: Processes, Projects and Capabilities, Facilities<br\ >
 
Goals and Drivers: Collaborative Work environment
 
Goals and Drivers: Collaborative Work environment
 +
|[[File:Roadmap_Example_Step_03.png|thumb|200px|]]
 
|-
 
|-
|4) SWOT-Analysis
+
|04
 +
|SWOT-Analysis
 
|To analyse the current capabilities you screen the company strengths and weaknesses in relation to the opportunities and threats of not pursuing the collaborative approach.
 
|To analyse the current capabilities you screen the company strengths and weaknesses in relation to the opportunities and threats of not pursuing the collaborative approach.
|You realize, that next to collaboration, flexibility and maintaining visibility are key capabilities.
+
|You realize that next to collaboration, flexibility and maintaining visibility are key capabilities.
 +
|[[File:Roadmap_Example_Step_04.png|thumb|200px|]]
 
|-
 
|-
|5) Portfolio-Analysis
+
|05
|Together with the responsible (process managers, facility managers ...) people you analyse process maps, facilities at hand and knowledge assets. You decide which contribute to the key capabilities, and which you would need.  
+
|Portfolio-Analysis
 +
|Together with the responsible colleagues (process managers, facility managers etc.) you analyse process maps, facilities at hand and knowledge assets. You decide which contribute to the key capabilities, and which you would need.  
 
|You now can fill in the as-is-state and already have first ideas for a to-be-state.
 
|You now can fill in the as-is-state and already have first ideas for a to-be-state.
 +
|[[File:Roadmap_Example_Step_05.png|thumb|200px|]]
 
|-
 
|-
|6) PESTLE-Analysis
+
|06
 +
|PESTLE-Analysis
 
|With the core-team you analyse outside trends and factors that might have an impact on the overall goal.
 
|With the core-team you analyse outside trends and factors that might have an impact on the overall goal.
|You find, that the goal seems valid.
+
|You find that the goal seems valid, from a HR-standpoint you realize, that employee expectations will change over the course of the program.
 +
|[[File:Roadmap_Example_Step_06.png|thumb|200px|]]
 
|-
 
|-
|7) Gap Analysis / Delphi-Method
+
|07
 +
|Gap Analysis / Delphi-Method
 
|You carry out several workshops (at least one for each layer) with experts from the company on which measures to take to fill the gaps.
 
|You carry out several workshops (at least one for each layer) with experts from the company on which measures to take to fill the gaps.
 
|Afterwards you have an array of possible projects for the program and how they would contribute to the benefit creation.
 
|Afterwards you have an array of possible projects for the program and how they would contribute to the benefit creation.
 +
|[[File:Roadmap_Example_Step_07.png|thumb|200px|]]
 
|-
 
|-
|8) Valuation
+
|08
 +
|Valuation
 
|You meet with cost experts and controlling to estimate project costs and benefits.
 
|You meet with cost experts and controlling to estimate project costs and benefits.
|The project array is now prioritized.
+
|The project/initiative array is now prioritized.
 +
|[[File:Roadmap_Example_Step_08.png|thumb|200px|]]
 
|-
 
|-
|9) Linking Grids
+
|09
 +
|Linking Grids
 
|According to the prioritisation, you now use linking grids to connect the initiatives to each other and the overall goal.  
 
|According to the prioritisation, you now use linking grids to connect the initiatives to each other and the overall goal.  
 
|For example: Collaboration needs flexible workspaces (adjusting facilities), which require cloud-based solutions and processes (redesign processes), which require wireless IT-solutions (invest in notebooks and wireless access points).   
 
|For example: Collaboration needs flexible workspaces (adjusting facilities), which require cloud-based solutions and processes (redesign processes), which require wireless IT-solutions (invest in notebooks and wireless access points).   
 +
|[[File:Roadmap_Example_Step_09.png|thumb|200px|]]
 
|-
 
|-
|10) Scenario-Analysis
+
|10
 +
|Scenario-Analysis
 
|Together with experts you create different scenarios to prove the programs robustness and schedule accordingly.  
 
|Together with experts you create different scenarios to prove the programs robustness and schedule accordingly.  
|You can now present a validated, cost-estimated, logically connected holistic program, that offers the required benefit.
+
|You can now present a validated, cost-estimated, logically connected holistic program that offers the required benefit.
 +
|[[File:Roadmap_Example_Step_10.png|thumb|200px|]]
 
|-
 
|-
|11) Action Plan
+
|11
 +
|Action Plan
 
|You can now distribute the projects including the most relevant interfaces and milestones.
 
|You can now distribute the projects including the most relevant interfaces and milestones.
 
|Continuous feedback from project controlling
 
|Continuous feedback from project controlling
 +
|[[File:Roadmap_Example_Step_11.png|thumb|200px|]]
 
|-
 
|-
|12) Continuous Process
+
|12
 +
|Continuous Process
 
|Constant revising of the roadmap according to project feedback and market/industry intelligence.
 
|Constant revising of the roadmap according to project feedback and market/industry intelligence.
 
|Revisions of the roadmap
 
|Revisions of the roadmap
 +
|[[File:Roadmap_Example_Step_12.png|thumb|200px|]]
 
|}
 
|}
  
 
=='''Discussion'''==
 
=='''Discussion'''==
Although technology roadmaps are a powerful tool to visualize organisation-spanning programs, they are just as good as the underlying data and information. Also, they will stay only visualisations if there is no proper link to strategic and decision-making. Also one has to understand the probabilistic nature of the document and due to that the need for constant evaluation and refinement. Roadmapping requires assumptions and estimation about partly long-term future developments. Consequently, these have to be checked and updated as time unfolds.  
+
[[File:Maturity_Model.png|thumb|500px|'''Figure 05:''' depicts the maturity model by ''Lucent Technologies''. It points out the three different maturity levels of a roadmapping system. Through this, it becomes clear, that using roadmaps for program management requires a very mature roadmapping system that excels in the earlier stages. Thus, a lot of experience or high levels of commitment are critical to roadmapping in program management.<ref name="phaal3"/>]]
For all that companies and organisations may not be mislead by the simplistic nature of the resulting roadmap. It is about the though and combination of information in the roadmapping process through which the valuable insights can be gained. In order to proceed on the path towards roadmapping excellence, companies should thus be confident enough
+
 
to tailor their own roadmapping process but design it in a robust and reliable way, so different roadmaps can be compared and updated over time.
+
As shown, technology roadmaps are very useful when applied even for only one specific case/question. However, they can unfold their full potential only if they are part of a continuous process that is deeply embedded in the strategic PPM planning process (see figure 05). It should make use of all information available to truly integrate across all areas of an organisation. However, implementing and maintaining such a process takes time and until now, only very few companies manage to integrate them in that fashion. Organisations should therefore be aware of the fact, that if they decide for roadmapping as part of their strategic planning, they should be in for the long run. Only after learning how to use roadmaps to ''understand'' matters and how to make them ''persuasive'' for others, they can truly be used to ''synchronise'' programs, strategy and planning. <ref name="phaal3">Phaal, Robert et al. (2005): ''Developing a Technology Roadmapping System''; University of Cambridge. [http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.455.2248&rep=rep1&type=pdf Link]</ref> Due to these impediments, roadmaps are especially interesting for bigger companies, where interrelations or connections are not clearly visible and the necessary pre-requisites exist.
 +
 
 +
Next to this overarching restriction, there are some critical aspects to roadmaps, that determine their success or failure within an organisation and should be kept in mind.<ref name="Milosevic"/>
 +
 
 +
*'''Accuracy and actuality of information'''
 +
Although technology roadmaps are a powerful tool to visualize organisation-spanning programs, they are just as good as the underlying data and information. Especially the probabilistic nature of the assumptions about the long-term development thus calls for steady refinement and evaluation. ''Check and update information as time unfolds.''
 +
 
 +
*'''Shortcutting the process'''
 +
Organisations should not be misled by the simplistic appearance of a roadmap. As shown, a lot of effort is needed to design a program roadmap - including lots of lengthy discussions about opinions and best practices. However, this exact process is what creates the value of the roadmap, as it unveils the logical links between the mass of information. Thus: ''Understand the roadmap as the result of an even more important roadmapping exercise.'' 
 +
 
 +
*'''Link to decision-making and operations'''
 +
Roadmaps will stay visualisations if there is no proper link to strategic and decision-making. This is why the process described emphasizes the ''action plan''. Ways to link are the hierarchical position of the roadmap owner, the purpose definition, and the like. Therefore: ''Ensure to translate understanding into implications and customize the process to needs.''
 +
 
 +
==Recommended Literature==
 +
'''Phaal, Robert et al. (2005): ''Developing a Technology Roadmapping System''; University of Cambridge'''<br \>
 +
In this compact article, Robert Phaal focuses on the customization of roadmaps. After introducing the roadmapping methodology briefly, the focus is on the integration of roadmapping in an organisation’s strategic planning process.  It is elaborated how to make roadmaps work in organisations and the need for development (maturity model) of a roadmapping system is pointed out. Phaal's key point is that the organization should tailor the roadmapping process according to its needs and capabilities.<br \>
 +
'''Milosevic, Dragan et al. (2007): ''Program Management for Improved Business Results''; John Wiley & Sons Inc.''' (Chapter 10)<br \>
 +
This book represents a very structured overview of all facets of program management.
 +
In chapter 10 specifically, Milosevic presents a very short and to-the-point description of the benefits and elements of a roadmap. The most interesting part however is the relation to other strategic planning methods (such as portfolio management and the like).<br \>
 +
'''Behrendt, Siegfried (editor) (2007): ''Integrated Technology Roadmapping: A practical guide to the search for technological answers to social challenges and trends''; Zentralverband Elektrotechnik und Elektroindustrie e.V.'''<br \>
 +
“Integrated Technology Roadmapping” emphasizes the realisation of roadmapping in the context of societal programs. It presents a process model tailored for programs targeting societies “big questions” and considers key practical tips (such as risk management, uncertainty, and stakeholders).<br \>
 +
'''Moehrle, Martin et al. (editors) (2012): ''Technology Roadmapping for Strategy and Innovation: Charting the route to success; Springer.'''<br \>
 +
Moehrle et al. focus on roadmapping to link (technological) innovation and strategy. This book is thus especially interesting for technology-driven businesses as it presents a very detailed scope concerning background, process, implementation of technology roadmapping and the link to strategic planning.<br \>
 +
'''Bernal, Luis et al. (2009): ''Technology Roadmapping Handbook''; University of Leipzig.'''<br \>
 +
This short handbook provides a very good overview of the different types of roadmaps and their elements. It does not go in-depth but gives an initial idea about the alternatives that should suffice to specifiy one’s needs.<br \>
  
Putting it altogether, roadmaps, although still useful when applied only for one specific case, can unfold their full potential only if they are part of a continuous process that is deeply embedded in the strategic PPM planning process (see maturity model in figure XX). It should make use of all information available to truly integrate across all areas of an organisation. However, until now, only very few manage to integrate them in that fashion.
+
==References==
 +
<references />
 +
Links are provided where possible.<br \>
 +
Please note that all figures without explicit citation were created by the author.

Latest revision as of 15:04, 18 December 2018

Developed by Sebastian Bauer


Contents

[edit] Overview

A roadmap is a time-based chart that aligns multiple planning layers (such as marketing-, product-, development-plan) with strategic business objectives. Its main idea is to create one integrated planning approach. This way, strategic pathways towards specific trajectories can be found, compared and decided while taking into account the planning elements’ interdependencies, mutual requirements and synergies.[1] Due to this holistic approach, technology roadmaps are a valuable tool for program management in organisations in two ways:

  • To analyse and define the need for initiatives and/or programs as well as their design;
  • To administer programs and their underlying activities.

In this article, the main focus will be on how to use technology roadmaps for the definition of (organizational) programs. For that, the key aspects of roadmaps and their purposes are described. Afterwards, the utilisation and the benefits of roadmapping for program management are discussed. As a third step, a roadmapping toolbox as well as an example for practical use are presented. Finally, the limitations of roadmapping processes are discussed emphasizing the necessity of a continuous and integrated roadmapping system.

[edit] Understanding Technology Roadmaps

Technology Roadmaps were first broadly introduced in the 1970s when pioneers like Motorola used them to integrate their technology and product development/planning. Since then, several types of roadmaps have been developed for different purposes (e.g. Service/Capability Roadmap for service-driven companies or knowledge asset roadmap for knowledge-driven companies). What they have in common is the approach of extrapolating or ‘’forecasting’’ effects of certain elements into the future and/or backcasting future goals/expected trends into current activities.[2] In order to visualise these aspects, most roadmaps share certain commonalities described below.

[edit] Key Aspects - What they look like

Figure 01: depicts a very simple and generic exemplary roadmap of an organisational program with the strategic goal of promoting collaboration and workplace flexibility.

Roadmaps are time-based charts that depict projects, initiatives, technologies and other planning objects on several layers. The timeframe (x-axis) typically spans several years and may include the past as well for reference. Even though specific dates will increase the roadmap's explanatory power, relatively vague estimates (such as "now", "plans", "strategy") may be useful in some cases.

The y-axis depicts the different planning layers in which the projects and activities can be categorized. These can mostly be joined into three main perspectives (blocks):

  • Resource perspective (bottom-layers): e.g. technologies, resources
  • Delivery perspective (middle-layers): e.g. products, services, systems
  • Purpose perspective (top-layers): strategic objectives, markets, business

A more detailed overview including possible layer-categories can be found in figure 01.

Within this framework, bars, and milestones are arranged to represent the activities and initiatives. The interrelations are represented by arrows that connect the different elements often times spanning several layers.

However, timeframe, layers as well as the type of activities etc. often are (and should be) subject to customization according to the specific case. The most important aspect for this customization is the purpose of the roadmap that may differ broadly. Also, next to the most common visualization presented above, there are other methods, e.g. tables,graphs,flow charts and others, that may be better suited to represent the situation comprehensively in some cases. [3]

[edit] Reading Direction - How to interpret them

Figure 02: depicts the possible reading directions. In the example, the organization could forecast the possibilities of introducing tablets, or backcast the necessary actions to facilitate collaboration (or a mixture of both).[3]

Typically roadmaps can be understood following a diagonal from the bottom-left to the top-right corner (as indicated in figure 02). Depending on the direction along this line, one obtains either an

  • backcasting-approach (top-right to bottom-left corner) following the market/objective pull, or
  • forecasting-approach (bottom-left to top-right corner) following the technology/resources push.

Following the top-down direction, the market/objective pull is first represented by the strategic business goal that propagates through the product portfolio plan, and finally the technologies and resources to be developed (backcasting). Thus a holistic approach to fulfilling market or strategy needs can be tracked. The other way around (bottom up), one may estimate the effects of a new technology or resource and how it can affect future products and therefore shape markets (forecasting). In practise, both directions are often merged as there will always be some idea about future developments as well as strategic implications.






[edit] Technology Roadmapping in Program Management

According to the PMI-Standard, Program management is the centralized coordinated management of a program to achieve the program's strategic benefits and objectives with a program itself being a group of related projects managed in a coordinated way [...].[4] Comparing these definitions to the overall idea of technology roadmaps - namely the coordination of multiple elements on several layers, to support specific (business) objectives and/or to analyse effect of certain elements on those goals - it becomes clear, that roadmaps are a highly applicable tool for program management. Considering the different program performance domains, roadmaps can play out their strengths in program-strategy-alignment, as well as in benefit-orientation and holistic program design. That being said, they may also be used in the same way for projects (on a smaller scale) as well as to ensure fit within portfolios of projects and programs. To realize these benefits, roadmaps should be defined when initiating a program and constantly revised over the course of it, to manage the design as well as the execution. Therefore, especially in the program management context, roadmaps are to be seen as dynamic documents.[5]

Note: Roadmaps in the PMI Standard:
In the PMI standard Roadmaps (in contrast to Technology Roadmaps) are presented as a useful tool to administer programs and ensure their benefit creation. While this connects to the approach presented in this article, it does focus on another aspect of roadmapping as it emphasizes the scheduling aspect and alignment of critical milestones, decision points and success criteria definition. Roadmaps in this PMI-context are more strictly time-oriented and represent the different projects instead of layers. As a result, the overall idea is to guarantee a smooth program progress (highest benefit and fewest interruptions/issues possible). Technology Roadmaps as presented here are less about carrying out the program efficiently (although they can serve as the base for that) but about finding effective pathways. For more on Program "administration" using Roadmaps, see [6].


[edit] Benefits - What they can do

The key benefit of roadmaps in program management is coordination and alignment. Their high-level scope and their focus on interdependencies enable an organisation to guarantee fit between the programs' elements.[4] Especially the process of roadmapping helps asking the right questions to design holistic programs that do not lack critical projects/activities. However, roadmaps improve program management in even more ways:

  • Improve commitment and understanding, as they communicate a high-level overall scope and execution of the program;
  • Help avoid costly mistakes, as they reveal gaps in the overall program;
  • Provide direction and focus, as they link program elements to overall strategic objectives;
  • Improve stakeholder/resource management, as they point out key contributors for program success and/or unveil hidden resources
  • Help save unnecessary cost/guarantee return on investment, as they focus on benefit/value creation (therefore contribute to lean program management);
  • Contribute to risk management efforts, as ripple-effects are easier to foresee;
  • Improve collaboration, as they summarize key deliverables/interfaces;
  • Improve decision making, as consequences are easier to foresee;
  • Clarify responsibilities, as they define clear tasks/milestones.


[edit] Methodology - How to use it

Roadmaps can be used to design a program from scratch, review and/or improve it. In the following the focus will be on the definition from scratch, as it includes all other steps. If the program is to be reviewed or improved, one can simply start at one of the latter process steps. Following the forecasting/backcasting approach, a program roadmap is guided by the following questions, inputs etc.:

Key Question
  • Forecasting: How will the basis-elements shape the future development of the higher layers?
  • Backcasting: Which elements on the lower levels are required to comply with the next higher layers' requirements?
Key Input
  • Forecasting: Current technology, competency, or project portfolio as the base-layer of the roadmap.
  • Backcasting: Strategic goal(s) to pursue development in a specific direction.
Key Activity
  • Forecasting: Estimating future trends and possibilities, finding logical developments and (strategically aligned) uses of resources available right now.
  • Backcasting: Deriving necessary activities, projects and elements to attain a goal, considering the risk or influence of different scenarios.
Key Output (note the similarity between fore- and backcasting approach)
  • Forecasting: e.g. realization that the organisation holds unnecessary assets (competencies, projects) that cannot be utilised in the future; a certain project may grow to be a revolutionary differentiating aspect for a company if treated correctly because it will be used in a different way.
  • Backcasting: e.g. a streamlined project portfolio that links the different initiatives logically; a set of routes that lead towards a specific strategic goal.


[edit] Application - How to adjust

Consequently, according to the different types of programs, namely Engineering Programs, Organizational Change Programs and Societal Programs Technology Roadmaps may be used as follows:

  • Engineering Programs
    In engineering programs, technology roadmaps can be used to analyse the effects of emerging technologies on the industry/organisation, or (the other way around) to see which technologies need development to realise a strategic product portfolio or the like. For example:
    • Forecasting: Phone manufacturers might analyse the probable impact of flexible displays in order to assess the need for programs to pursue this trend. They may also plan generation-spanning rollout-plans and there product (platform) development programs.
    • Backcasting: Car manufacturers might examine which resources to acquire, capabilities and technologies to develop etc. to position them as a leading e-car-brand in the future.
  • Organizational Change Programs
    In change programs, (next to IT and supporting technologies), methodologies and knowledge takes the place of "technology". It may therefore be used to assess if the current pathway complies with the company's vision of the future (and to define the corresponding program's elements to get back on track). Next to that, a strategic organizational change may be translated into the required projects (and therefore a program). Examples might be:
    • Forecasting: Companies may validate the impact of social networks for their internal structure and design a program that promotes, mitigates or direct the effects.
    • Backcasting: Organizations may design programs that involve human resource strategies, IT-systems, new processes as well as training and education etc. to facilitate a learning organization.
  • Societal Programs
    On a societal level, possibilities for roadmaps are broad and depend largely on the perspective of the roadmap owner. Mostly, they face the question of how society will develop according to major trends or how "big issues" may be solved. For example:
    • Forecasting: Governments may use the approach to assess the impact of smoking on an aging society (including social systems, health care etc. as layers).
    • Backcasting: NGOs may develop roadmaps on which initiatives, farming methods and technologies may mitigate world hunger.

[edit] Guideline for facilitation

Numerous process descriptions of how to carry out roadmapping exist (e.g. T-Plan-process[7], Integrated Roadmap process [8], Program roadmap process [9]). They differ vastly due to the different purposes and types of roadmaps, however they all point out three main aspects that are essential to any roadmap:

Key steps of the roadmapping process
Step Key Question Means
01 Planning
  • What is the scope of the roadmap?
  • What is the roadmap's purpose?
  • Who is the roadmap’s owner and therefore responsible?
Discussion with core team, approval meeting with board, input gathering from project and line managers.
02 Definition of current and future state
  • Where are we at (objectively and subjectively)?
  • What is the "to-be"-positioning?
Analysis in core teams, strategic decision from strategic planning and organizational goals (board).
03 Gap Analysis
  • Where are the gaps?
  • Which layers need to be addressed?
Workshops (often per layer) with respective departments, experts as well as outside consultants.
04 Implementation
  • How to communicate the results?
  • How to integrate the roadmapping activities into strategic/budgeting cycles?
  • For what to use roadmaps implications?
Using existing processes, facilitating hierarchical power of roadmap owner, gathering a “board of project managers” and the like.

However, since roadmapping is such a highly customizable undertaking, it is barely possible to define a more precise universal approach. That does not mean though, that there is no need for a structured process. On the contrary, especially the quality of information and the combination of it is essential to a successful roadmap. Due to that, a roadmapping toolbox is presented containing models and processes that help facilitate the building process of a roadmap. Its focus is on the utilization of information that should mostly be available in an organization anyways.

[edit] Toolbox - Support the process

Figure 03: depicts how the different tools link/are joined in a roadmap. It therefore points out the need for integration of the roadmapping process in strategic planning activities.[10]


If the necessary information is not at hand from the beginning, the following toolbox offers an array of supporting measures (see figure 03). It is explained briefly how/for what to use the method in the context of roadmapping. They are organised so they comply with the order of most roadmapping processes. (Click the models names for respective links.)


  1. Market and technology assessment should be utilised to estimate the scope and "clockspeed" of development. Depending on that, the timeframe for the roadmap should be chosen. (Step 1 and 2)
  2. SWOT-Analysis can be used to choose the right focus areas for the companies program (layers of the roadmap) as well as to indicate gaps within/between the layers. (Step 1 and 2)
  3. Portfolio-Analysis is useful to define the overall scope as well as to organize the options within the different layers (e.g. technology resources at hand). (Step 2)
  4. PESTLE-framework the factors political, economic, social, technological and environmental trends and drivers can be used to assess the top layers of the roadmap to find out key trends. (Step 2)
  5. Porter's Five Forces may be used if the competitive environment is highly relevant, e.g. when the roadmap is used to design strategic differentiation programs. (Step 2)
  6. Delphi-method should be used to gather inside and outside expert's opinions on the initiatives and developments. (Step 3)
  7. Valuation techniques such as net-present value, discounted cash flow, balanced scorecard or the like should be used to assess the different options (projects, technologies, etc.). (Step 3 and 4)
  8. Linking grids similar to Quality Function Deployment these grids link and translate higher-level aspects into lower-level requirements. Thus, they are crucial when linking the roadmaps layers. (See [7] for further explanation.) (Step 3)
  9. Scenario Techniques should be used to create different pathways and to assess possible future developments. (Step 4)




[edit] Example - How to do it

Example: You are program manager tasked by the CEO to put a program into place, that changes the company to become a truly collaborative work environment to be ready for future competition. They expect a well-rounded solution including the whole company.
Step Action Result Roadmap
01 Team Set up You set up a team including all major stakeholders in the company to discuss the matter and get everyone on board. The team commits to the approach and acknowledges you as the owner of the roadmap, responsible for the process.
Roadmap Example Step 01.png
02 Clarify the purpose You meat with the board to discuss the overall goal. The purpose of the roadmap is defined as "Define a roadmap which resources, technologies and capabilities to acquire/develop to become a collaborative business within 5 years".
Roadmap Example Step 02.png
03 Choose basic dimensions You meet with the core team and discuss the basic layout of the roadmap according to current market and technology information. x-Axis: The 5-year-timeframe required is acknowledged as realistic.
The following layers are decided to have an impact:

y-Axis:
Resources: IT, Human Resources, Knowledge assets
Delivery: Processes, Projects and Capabilities, Facilities
Goals and Drivers: Collaborative Work environment

Roadmap Example Step 03.png
04 SWOT-Analysis To analyse the current capabilities you screen the company strengths and weaknesses in relation to the opportunities and threats of not pursuing the collaborative approach. You realize that next to collaboration, flexibility and maintaining visibility are key capabilities.
Roadmap Example Step 04.png
05 Portfolio-Analysis Together with the responsible colleagues (process managers, facility managers etc.) you analyse process maps, facilities at hand and knowledge assets. You decide which contribute to the key capabilities, and which you would need. You now can fill in the as-is-state and already have first ideas for a to-be-state.
Roadmap Example Step 05.png
06 PESTLE-Analysis With the core-team you analyse outside trends and factors that might have an impact on the overall goal. You find that the goal seems valid, from a HR-standpoint you realize, that employee expectations will change over the course of the program.
Roadmap Example Step 06.png
07 Gap Analysis / Delphi-Method You carry out several workshops (at least one for each layer) with experts from the company on which measures to take to fill the gaps. Afterwards you have an array of possible projects for the program and how they would contribute to the benefit creation.
Roadmap Example Step 07.png
08 Valuation You meet with cost experts and controlling to estimate project costs and benefits. The project/initiative array is now prioritized.
Roadmap Example Step 08.png
09 Linking Grids According to the prioritisation, you now use linking grids to connect the initiatives to each other and the overall goal. For example: Collaboration needs flexible workspaces (adjusting facilities), which require cloud-based solutions and processes (redesign processes), which require wireless IT-solutions (invest in notebooks and wireless access points).
Roadmap Example Step 09.png
10 Scenario-Analysis Together with experts you create different scenarios to prove the programs robustness and schedule accordingly. You can now present a validated, cost-estimated, logically connected holistic program that offers the required benefit.
Roadmap Example Step 10.png
11 Action Plan You can now distribute the projects including the most relevant interfaces and milestones. Continuous feedback from project controlling
Roadmap Example Step 11.png
12 Continuous Process Constant revising of the roadmap according to project feedback and market/industry intelligence. Revisions of the roadmap
Roadmap Example Step 12.png

[edit] Discussion

Figure 05: depicts the maturity model by Lucent Technologies. It points out the three different maturity levels of a roadmapping system. Through this, it becomes clear, that using roadmaps for program management requires a very mature roadmapping system that excels in the earlier stages. Thus, a lot of experience or high levels of commitment are critical to roadmapping in program management.[10]

As shown, technology roadmaps are very useful when applied even for only one specific case/question. However, they can unfold their full potential only if they are part of a continuous process that is deeply embedded in the strategic PPM planning process (see figure 05). It should make use of all information available to truly integrate across all areas of an organisation. However, implementing and maintaining such a process takes time and until now, only very few companies manage to integrate them in that fashion. Organisations should therefore be aware of the fact, that if they decide for roadmapping as part of their strategic planning, they should be in for the long run. Only after learning how to use roadmaps to understand matters and how to make them persuasive for others, they can truly be used to synchronise programs, strategy and planning. [10] Due to these impediments, roadmaps are especially interesting for bigger companies, where interrelations or connections are not clearly visible and the necessary pre-requisites exist.

Next to this overarching restriction, there are some critical aspects to roadmaps, that determine their success or failure within an organisation and should be kept in mind.[5]

  • Accuracy and actuality of information

Although technology roadmaps are a powerful tool to visualize organisation-spanning programs, they are just as good as the underlying data and information. Especially the probabilistic nature of the assumptions about the long-term development thus calls for steady refinement and evaluation. Check and update information as time unfolds.

  • Shortcutting the process

Organisations should not be misled by the simplistic appearance of a roadmap. As shown, a lot of effort is needed to design a program roadmap - including lots of lengthy discussions about opinions and best practices. However, this exact process is what creates the value of the roadmap, as it unveils the logical links between the mass of information. Thus: Understand the roadmap as the result of an even more important roadmapping exercise.

  • Link to decision-making and operations

Roadmaps will stay visualisations if there is no proper link to strategic and decision-making. This is why the process described emphasizes the action plan. Ways to link are the hierarchical position of the roadmap owner, the purpose definition, and the like. Therefore: Ensure to translate understanding into implications and customize the process to needs.

[edit] Recommended Literature

Phaal, Robert et al. (2005): Developing a Technology Roadmapping System; University of Cambridge
In this compact article, Robert Phaal focuses on the customization of roadmaps. After introducing the roadmapping methodology briefly, the focus is on the integration of roadmapping in an organisation’s strategic planning process. It is elaborated how to make roadmaps work in organisations and the need for development (maturity model) of a roadmapping system is pointed out. Phaal's key point is that the organization should tailor the roadmapping process according to its needs and capabilities.
Milosevic, Dragan et al. (2007): Program Management for Improved Business Results; John Wiley & Sons Inc. (Chapter 10)
This book represents a very structured overview of all facets of program management. In chapter 10 specifically, Milosevic presents a very short and to-the-point description of the benefits and elements of a roadmap. The most interesting part however is the relation to other strategic planning methods (such as portfolio management and the like).
Behrendt, Siegfried (editor) (2007): Integrated Technology Roadmapping: A practical guide to the search for technological answers to social challenges and trends; Zentralverband Elektrotechnik und Elektroindustrie e.V.
“Integrated Technology Roadmapping” emphasizes the realisation of roadmapping in the context of societal programs. It presents a process model tailored for programs targeting societies “big questions” and considers key practical tips (such as risk management, uncertainty, and stakeholders).
Moehrle, Martin et al. (editors) (2012): Technology Roadmapping for Strategy and Innovation: Charting the route to success; Springer.
Moehrle et al. focus on roadmapping to link (technological) innovation and strategy. This book is thus especially interesting for technology-driven businesses as it presents a very detailed scope concerning background, process, implementation of technology roadmapping and the link to strategic planning.
Bernal, Luis et al. (2009): Technology Roadmapping Handbook; University of Leipzig.
This short handbook provides a very good overview of the different types of roadmaps and their elements. It does not go in-depth but gives an initial idea about the alternatives that should suffice to specifiy one’s needs.

[edit] References

  1. Moehrle, Martin et al. (editors) (2012): Technology Roadmapping for Strategy and Innovation: Charting the route to success; Springer. Link
  2. Bernal, Luis et al. (2009): Technology Roadmapping Handbook; University of Leipzig. Link
  3. 3.0 3.1 Phaal, Robert et al. (2004): Customizing Roadmapping; in: Research Technology Management Vol. 47.
  4. 4.0 4.1 Project Management Institute (2006): The Standard for Program Management; 2nd edition.
  5. 5.0 5.1 Milosevic, Dragan et al. (2007): Program Management for Improved Business Results; John Wiley & Sons Inc.. Link
  6. Project Management Institute (2013): The Standard for Program Management; 3rd edition.
  7. 7.0 7.1 Phaal, Robert et al. (2001): Technology Roadmapping: linking technology resources to business objectives; University of Cambridge. Link
  8. Behrendt, Siegfried (editor) (2007): Integrated Technology Roadmapping: A practical guide to the search for technological answers to social challenges and trends; Zentralverband Elektrotechnik und Elektroindustrie e.V.. Link
  9. Byrne, Kevin et al. (2013): How to Prepare a Program Roadmap; Journal of Evonomic Development, Management, IT, Finance and Marketing, Issue 6. Link
  10. 10.0 10.1 10.2 Phaal, Robert et al. (2005): Developing a Technology Roadmapping System; University of Cambridge. Link

Links are provided where possible.
Please note that all figures without explicit citation were created by the author.

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