Wideband Delphi
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== Abstract == | == Abstract == | ||
| − | + | The Wideband Delphi estimation method is a technique for estimating workload based on participant consensus. It is based on the Delphi method, famously developed by the RAND Corporation in the 1950s-1960s as a forecasting tool. The classic Delphi method is a method in which companies form a specialized forecasting organization, which includes several experts and corporate forecasting organizers, and follow a prescribed procedure to solicit experts' opinions or judgments about future markets back to back and then make forecasts. In the 1970s, Barry Boehm and John A. Farquhar proposed a broadband variant of the Delphi method. The term "broadband" is used because the broadband Delphi technique involves more interaction and more communication between participants than the Delphi method. It has since been adapted in many industries to estimate a wide range of tasks, from statistical data collection results to sales and marketing forecasts. | |
| − | + | This paper will describe the main steps of Wideband Delphi and analyze its use in different domains and present the role and advantages it plays in project management. This article will also give practical examples to help understand the process of its use. | |
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== Big Idea == | == Big Idea == | ||
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=== Steps of Wideband Delphi === | === Steps of Wideband Delphi === | ||
| + | === Variation in different fields === | ||
Revision as of 14:50, 13 February 2022
Witten by Kunyi Yang， February 2022
Contents |
Abstract
The Wideband Delphi estimation method is a technique for estimating workload based on participant consensus. It is based on the Delphi method, famously developed by the RAND Corporation in the 1950s-1960s as a forecasting tool. The classic Delphi method is a method in which companies form a specialized forecasting organization, which includes several experts and corporate forecasting organizers, and follow a prescribed procedure to solicit experts' opinions or judgments about future markets back to back and then make forecasts. In the 1970s, Barry Boehm and John A. Farquhar proposed a broadband variant of the Delphi method. The term "broadband" is used because the broadband Delphi technique involves more interaction and more communication between participants than the Delphi method. It has since been adapted in many industries to estimate a wide range of tasks, from statistical data collection results to sales and marketing forecasts. This paper will describe the main steps of Wideband Delphi and analyze its use in different domains and present the role and advantages it plays in project management. This article will also give practical examples to help understand the process of its use.
Big Idea
Key characteristics of Wideband Delphi
Steps of Wideband Delphi
Variation in different fields
Application
Limitations
Annotated bibliography
B. W. Boehm, Software Engineering Economics. Prentice-Hall, 1981, p. 335.
