Antifragility

The history of antifragility

Black Swan events.

A Black Swan event is defined by Taleb as: “…the Black Swan problem – the impossibility of calculating the risks of consequential rare events and predicting their occurrence. ”

The concept of being antifragile

Defenition of antifragile: Some things benefit from shocks; they thrive and grow when exposed to volatility, randomness, disorder, and stressors and love adventure, risk, and uncertainty. Yet, in spite of the ubiquity of the phenomenon, there is no word for the exact opposite of fragile. Let us call it antifragile. - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Recall that the fragile wants tranquility, the antifragile grows from disorder, and the robust doesn’t care too much. - Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Crucially, if antifragility is the property of all those natural (and complex) systems that have survived, depriving these systems of volatility, randomness, and stressors will harm them. They will weaken, die, or blow up. - Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Fooled by Randomness

something that is robust merely tolerates adverse or unexpected conditions, whereas something that is antifragile thrives—its performance actually improves. - Robert W. Lucky, Antifragile Systems

The antonym of “fragile” is not robustness or resilience, but “please mishandle” or “please handle carelessly,” using an example from Taleb when referring to sending a package full of glasses by post. - Terje Aven, The Concept of Antifragility and its Implications for the Practice of Risk Analysis

‘Fragility’ can be defined as an accelerating sensitivity to a harmful stressor: this response plots as a concave curve and mathematically culminates in more harm than benefit from random events. ‘Antifragility’ is the opposite, producing a convex response that leads to more benefit than harm. - Nassim Nicholas Taleb, ‘Antifragility’ as a mathematical idea

How to define an antifragile system?

- When do you reach an antifragile system? - What is the rules/guidelines for the anitfragile system? - Can an antifragile system become (anti)antifragile? And what is it then?

Using the antifragile system in Project, Program and Portfolio Management

An important and often occurring (also reoccurring) event for manager of projects, programs and portfolios are dealing with risk and the uncertain aspects of when or how something will happen . Protecting their projects and making them able to respond to threats and survive the negative events takes time and effort. Here the antifragile system enters the picture . An antifragile system thrives in disorder and with stressors.

- What use would the antifragile system give? - Is there any benefits that does not exist today in other systems?

- Is there places that the antifragile system cannot be used?

- Are there any antifragile systems? (I.e. Can the concept be used, or is the the antifragile system a philosophical thought?)

References

Sorry to the people making the peer review for not having any content.