Optimism bias, strategic misinterpretation and reference class forecasting

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conclusion
 
conclusion
  
Background
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== Optimisim Bias ==
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== Strategic Misinterpretation ==
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== Reference Class Forecasting ==
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== Business Practise ==
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== Limitations ==
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== Alternatives ==
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== Conclusion ==
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pmi view on danish nobel professor with theory on optimism bias
 
pmi view on danish nobel professor with theory on optimism bias
 
20 page repyrt on limitations and examples[http://peakconsulting.dk/Portals/0/media/PMO-forum/23-nov-2011/Flyvbjerg_2008_CurbingOptimismBiasAndStrategicMisrepresentationInPlanningReferenceClassForecastingInPractice.pdf]
 
20 page repyrt on limitations and examples[http://peakconsulting.dk/Portals/0/media/PMO-forum/23-nov-2011/Flyvbjerg_2008_CurbingOptimismBiasAndStrategicMisrepresentationInPlanningReferenceClassForecastingInPractice.pdf]

Revision as of 14:14, 23 February 2018


Contents

Background Information on Flyrbergs danish theory

flyberg

_TOC_

link nobel all 3 business practise limitations alternatives conclusion

Optimisim Bias

Strategic Misinterpretation

Reference Class Forecasting

Business Practise

Limitations

Alternatives

Conclusion

pmi view on danish nobel professor with theory on optimism bias 20 page repyrt on limitations and examples[1]

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