Optimism bias, strategic misinterpretation and reference class forecasting
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− | + | == Optimisim Bias == | |
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+ | == Strategic Misinterpretation == | ||
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+ | == Reference Class Forecasting == | ||
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+ | == Business Practise == | ||
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+ | == Limitations == | ||
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+ | == Alternatives == | ||
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+ | == Conclusion == | ||
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pmi view on danish nobel professor with theory on optimism bias | pmi view on danish nobel professor with theory on optimism bias | ||
20 page repyrt on limitations and examples[http://peakconsulting.dk/Portals/0/media/PMO-forum/23-nov-2011/Flyvbjerg_2008_CurbingOptimismBiasAndStrategicMisrepresentationInPlanningReferenceClassForecastingInPractice.pdf] | 20 page repyrt on limitations and examples[http://peakconsulting.dk/Portals/0/media/PMO-forum/23-nov-2011/Flyvbjerg_2008_CurbingOptimismBiasAndStrategicMisrepresentationInPlanningReferenceClassForecastingInPractice.pdf] |
Revision as of 14:14, 23 February 2018
Contents |
Background Information on Flyrbergs danish theory
flyberg
_TOC_
link nobel all 3 business practise limitations alternatives conclusion
Optimisim Bias
Strategic Misinterpretation
Reference Class Forecasting
Business Practise
Limitations
Alternatives
Conclusion
pmi view on danish nobel professor with theory on optimism bias 20 page repyrt on limitations and examples[1]