Roadmapping in Program Management

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DISCLAIMER:

  • The section "Example" is not finished yet, there will be figures according to each stage of the process. Nevertheless, feedback is very welcome
  • Literature is not added yet and will follow in the next days.
  • Figures are not final yet, they will be arranged nicely to flow with the text (I still have to figure that out)
  • Generally, my main concern is "sense-making" so if you do not understand something, please point it out to me :)


Thanks in advance :)

Contents

Overview

A roadmap is a time-based chart that aligns multiple planning layers (such as marketing-, product-, development-plan) with strategic business objectives. Its main idea is to create one integrated planning approach. This way, strategic pathways towards specific trajectories can be found, compared and decided while taking into account the planning elements’ interdependencies, mutual requirements and synergies.[1] Due to this holistic approach, technology roadmaps are a valuable tool for program management in organisations in two ways:

  • To analyse and define the need for initiatives and/or programs as well as their design;
  • To administer programs and their underlying activities.

In this article, the main focus will be on how to use technology roadmaps for the definition of (organizational) programs. For that, the key aspects of roadmaps and their purposes are described. Afterwards, the utilisation and the benefits of roadmapping for program management are discussed. As a third step, a roadmapping toolbox as well as an example for practical use are presented. Finally, the limitations of roadmapping processes are discussed emphasizing the necessity of continuous roadmap processes.

Understanding Technology Roadmaps

Technology Roadmaps were first broadly introduced in the 1970s when pioneers like Motorola used them to integrate their technology and product development/planning. Since then, several types of roadmaps have been developed for different purposes (e.g. Service/Capability Roadmap for service-driven companies; or knowledge asset roadmap for knowledge-driven companies). What they have in common is the approach of extrapolating or ‘’forecasting’’ effects of certain elements into the future and/or backcasting future goals/expected trends into current activities.[2] In order to visualise these aspects, most roadmaps share certain commonalities described below.

Key Aspects - What they look like

Figure 01: depicts a very simple an generic exemplary roadmap of an organisational program with the strategy goal of promoting collaboration and workplace flexibility.

Roadmaps are time-based charts that depict projects, initiatives, technologies and other planning objects on several layers. The timeframe (x-axis) typically spans several years and may include the past as well for reference. Even though specific dates will increase the roadmap's explanatory power, relatively vague estimates (such as "now", "plans", "strategy") may be useful in some cases.

The y-axis depicts the different planning layers, that can mostly be joined into three main perspectives (blocks):

  • Resource perspective (bottom-layers): e.g. technologies, resources
  • Delivery perspective (middle-layers): e.g. products, services, systems
  • Purpose perspective (top-layers): strategic objectives, markets, business

A more detailed overview including possible layer-categories can be found in figure 01.

Within this framework, bars, and milestones are arranged to represent the activities/initiatives. The interrelations are represented by arrows that connect the different elements often times spanning several layers.

However, timeframe, layers as well as the type of activities etc. represented often are (and should be) subject to customization according to the specific case. The most important aspect for this customization is the purpose of the roadmap that may differ broadly. Also, next to the most common visualization presented above, there are other methods, e.g. tables,graphs,flow charts and others, that may be better suited to represent the situation comprehensively in some cases. [3]

Reading Direction - How to interpret them

Figure 02: depicts the possible reading directions. In the example, the organization could forecast the possibilities of introducing tablets, or backcast the necessary actions to facilitate collaboration (or a mixture of both).

Typically roadmaps can be understood following a diagonal from the bottom-left to the top-right corner (as indicated in figure 02). Depending on the direction along this line, one obtains either an

  • backcasting-approach (top-right to bottom-left corner) following the market/objective pull, or
  • forecasting-approach (bottom-left to top-right corner) following the technology/resources push.

Following the top-down direction, the market/objective pull is first represented by the strategic business goal, that propagates through the product portfolio plan, and finally the technologies and resources to be developed (backcasting). Thus a holistic approach to fulfilling market needs can be tracked. The other way around (bottom up) one may estimate the effects of a new technology or resource and how it can affect future products and therefore shape markets (forecasting). In practise, both directions are often merged as there will always be some idea about future developments as well as strategic implications.






Technology Roadmapping in Program Management

According to the PMI-Standard, Program management is the centralized coordinated management of a program to achieve the program's strategic benefits and objectives with a program itself being a group of related projects managed in a coordinated way [...].[4] Comparing these definitions to the overall idea of technology roadmaps - namely the coordination of multiple elements on several layers, to support specific (business) objectives and/or to analyse effect of certain elements on those goals - it becomes clear, that roadmaps are a highly applicable tool for program management. Considering the different program performance domains, roadmaps can play out their strengths in program-strategy-alignment, as well as in benefit-orientation and holistic program design. That being said, they may also be used in the same way for projects (on a smaller scale) as well as to ensure fit within portfolios of projects and programs. To realize these benefits, roadmaps should be defined when initiating a program and constantly revised over the course of it, to manage the design as well as the execution. Therefore, especially in the program management context, roadmaps are to be seen as dynamic documents.

Note: Roadmaps in the PMI Standard:
In the PMI standard Roadmaps (in contrast to Technology Roadmps) are presented as a useful tool to administer programs and ensure their benefit creation. While this connects to the approach presented in this article, it does focus on another aspect of roadmapping as it emphasizes the scheduling aspect and alignment of critical milestones, decision points and success criteria definition. Roadmaps in this context are more strictly time-oriented and represent the different projects instead of layers. As a result, the overall idea is to guarantee a smooth program progress (highest benefit and fewest interruptions/issues possible). Technology Roadmaps as presented here are less about carrying out the program efficiently (although they can serve as the base for that) but about finding effective pathways. For more on Program "administration" using Roadmaps, see [5].

Benefits - What they can do

The key benefit of roadmaps in program management is coordination and alignment. Their high-level scope and their focus on interdependencies enable an organisation to guarantee fit between the programs' elements.[4] Especially the process of roadmapping helps asking the right questions to design holistic programs that do not lack critical projects/activities. However, roadmaps improve program management in even more ways:

  • Improve commitment and understanding, as they communicate a high-level overall scope and execution of the program;
  • Help avoid costly mistakes, as they reveal gaps in the overall program;
  • Provide direction and focus, as they link program elements to overall strategic objectives;
  • Improve stakeholder/resource management, as they point out key contributors for program success and/or unveil hidden resources
  • Help save unnecessary cost/guarantee return on investment, as they focus on benefit/value creation (therefore contribute to lean program management);
  • Contribute to risk management efforts, as ripple-effects are easier to foresee;
  • Improve collaboration, as they summarize key deliverables;
  • Improve decision making, as consequences are easier to foresee;
  • Clarify responsibilities, as they define clear tasks/milestones.

Methodology - When to use it

Following the aspects underneath a program roadmap can be designed, reviewed, and improved.

Methodology of technology roadmaps in program management
Top-Down direction Bottom-Up direction
Key Inputs

Program objective as the top-layer of the roadmap;
Key components of value creation chain as the layers (arrange according to perspectives mentioned above)
Planned technologies, capabilities or else as elements of the roadmap (if applicable/if already decided)

Key technology(ies), asset(s) etc. as the basic starting point of the roadmap (often times bottom layer)
Key components of value creation chain as the layers (arrange according to perspectives mentioned above)
Extensive information about market and overall technology development to forecast the effects

Guiding Question

Which elements on the lower levels are required to comply with the next higher layers' requirements?

How will the basis-elements shape the future development of the higher layers?

Other possible
Questions

How can we link the outputs of the different layers to the programs overall goal?
Are there excess technologies that will not be used?
Are there missing capabilities that cause gaps between intended products/services and technologies?

How will certain technologies be used in the future?
What kinds of initiatives will be necessary to ensure market success for technologies?

Application - How to adjust

Consequently, according to the different types of programs, namely Engineering Programs, Organizational Change Programs and Societal Programs Technology Roadmaps may be used as follows:

  • Engineering Programs
    In engineering programs, technology roadmaps can be used to analyse the effects of emerging technologies on the industry/organisation, or (the other way around) to see which technologies need development to realise a strategic product portfolio or the like. For example:
    • Phone manufacturers might analyse the probable impact of flexible displays in order to assess the need for programs to pursue this trend. They may also plan generation-spanning rollout-plans and there product (platform) development programs.
    • Car manufacturers might examine which resources to acquire, capabilities and technologies to develop etc. to position them as a leading e-car-brand in the future.
  • Organizational Change Programs
    In change programs, (next to IT and supporting technologies), methodologies and knowledge takes the place of "technology". It may therefore be used to assess if the current pathway complies with the company's vision of the future (and to define the corresponding program's elements to get back on track). Next to that, a strategic organizational change may be translated into the required projects (and therefore program). Examples might be:
    • Companies may validate the impact of social networks for their internal structure and design a program that promotes, mitigates or direct the effects.
    • Organizations may design programs that involve human resource strategies, IT-systems, new processes as well as training and education etc. to facilitate a learning organization.
  • Societal Programs
    On a societal level, possibilities for roadmaps are broad and depend largely on the perspective of the roadmap owner. Mostly the face the question on how society will develop according to major trends or how "big issues" may be solved. For example:
    • Governments may use the approach to assess the impact of smoking on an aging society (including social systems, health care etc. as layers).
    • NGOs may develop roadmaps on which initiatives, farming methods and technologies may mitigate world hunger.

Guideline for facilitation

Numerous process descriptions of how to carry out roadmapping exist (e.g. T-Plan-process, Integrated Roadmap process, Program roadmap process). They differ vastly due to the different purposes and types of roadmaps, however they all point out three main aspects that are essential to any roadmap:

  • Emphasis on the planning of the roadmap
    What is the scope of the roadmap?
    What is the roadmap's purpose?
    Who is the roadmaps owner and therefore responsible?
  • Emphasis on finding and/or filling gaps between current and future state
    Where are the gaps?
    Which layers need to be addressed?
    Often times organised in workshops per layer.
  • Emphasis on proper implementation
    How to communicate the results?
    How to integrate the roadmapping activities into strategic/budgeting cycles?
    For what to use roadmaps implications?

However, since roadmapping is such a highly customizable undertaking, it is barely possible to define a universal approach. That does not mean though, that there is no need for a structured process. On the contrary, especially the quality of information and the combination of it is essential to a successful roadmap. Due to that, a roadmapping toolbox is presented containing models and processes that help facilitate the building process of a roadmap. Its focus is on the utilization of information that should mostly be available in an organization anyways.

Toolbox - Support the process

figure 03

If the necessary information is not at hand from the beginning, the following toolbox offers an array of supporting measures (see also figure 03). It is explained briefly how/for what to use the method for in the context of roadmapping. They are organised so they comply with most the order of roadmapping processes. (Click the models names for respective links.)

  • Market and technology assessment should be utilised to estimate the scope "clockspeed" of development. Depending on that, the timeframe for the roadmap should be chosen.
  • SWOT-Analysis can be used to choose the right focus areas for the companies program (layers of the roadmap) as well as to indicate gaps within/between the layers.
  • Portfolio-Analysis is useful to define the overall scope as well as to organize the options within the different layers (e.g. technology resources at hand).
  • PESTLE-framework the factors political, economic, social, technological and environmental trends and drivers can be used to assess the top layers of the roadmap to find out key trends.
  • Porter's Five Forces may be used if the competitive environment is highly relevant, e.g. when the roadmap is used to design strategic differentiation programs.
  • Delphi-method should be used to gather inside and outside expert's opinions on the initiatives and developments.
  • Valuation techniques such as value net-present value, discounted cash flow or the like should be used to assess the different options (projects, technologies, etc.).
  • Linking grids (similar to Quality Function Deployment) these grids link and translate higher-level aspects into lower-level requirements. Thus, they are crucial when linking the roadmaps layers. See Cite error: Closing </ref> missing for <ref> tag

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